The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has forecasted an above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, with an 85% chance of seeing 17 to 25 named storms—the highest number ever predicted in NOAA’s preseason outlook.
Hurricane Potential
Out of these named storms, eight to 13 are expected to develop into hurricanes with wind speeds of at least 74 mph. Additionally, four to seven of these hurricanes could become major storms, with wind speeds exceeding 111 mph.
Factors in 2024
Several factors contribute to this heightened activity, including near-record warm Atlantic temperatures and the anticipated transition to La Niña conditions. La Niña typically leads to cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Pacific and changes in atmospheric circulation that reduce wind shear, allowing storms to form more easily. An above-normal West African monsoon is also a factor, as it can produce easterly waves that develop into strong storms.
Hurricane Seasons
The hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, with peak activity usually occurring between mid-August and mid-October. For comparison, an average hurricane season has about 14 named storms.
In the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, there were 20 named storms, of which seven became hurricanes, and three of those reached major hurricane status (Category 3 or higher). This level of activity was above average in terms of named storms but aligned with the long-term averages for hurricanes and major hurricanes, which are typically seven and three per season, respectively.
Contact Us
As Orlando’s trusted roofing experts, we urge homeowners to take proactive steps in preparing their roofs for the upcoming season. Ensuring your roof is in top condition can help protect your home from potential storm damage. Contact us today at JA Edwards of America for a thorough roof inspection and any necessary repairs or reinforcements. Stay safe and be prepared!